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David Montgomery and the Houston Texans kick off the week
Sep
Montgomery had a total of 38 carries and targets in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively, while playing 66% and 80% of the snaps. He averaged over 8.1 YPC last Sunday night against the Packers, and Montgomery has run 25 throw routes compared to Khalil Herbert’s 8.
David Montgomery and the Houston Texans kick off the week
When compared to Montgomery, Herbert only has one score between the two after a goal-line rush in Week 1 of the NFL’s most run-centric system. The Bears hardly ever pass the ball, so Chicago should be free to run as much as they want in their home game against the Texans with a small three-point spread.
Jonathan Taylor destroyed the Texans for 31/161/1 in Week 1 before giving up 25/122/0 to the Broncos’ RB tandem of Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon on Sunday. Houston ranks 30th in rushing yards allowed, 27th in fantasy points given to running backs, and 25th in run-defense DVOA. In what will likely be a ground-based game, Montgomery is a rock-solid, volume-based RB2.
Sanders, who ranks as the current overall RB11 in half-PPR, is one of my favorite mid-round targets in summer draughts. Sanders’ Week 1 touchdown against the Lions helped him get the touchdown bug off his back. Sanders has continued to be a very effective runner in the greatest rushing offense in the league after placing second in yards per carrying last year. With an average of 15 carries and 2.5 targets each game, Sanders is averaging a remarkable 5.9 YPC.
The Commanders rank 28th in rushing yards allowed, 31st in run-defense DVOA, and 31st in fantasy points allowed to the position due to the beating they have taken from opposing running backs. Running on Washington has been successful for D’Andre Swift (5/56 + 2/31/1), Jamaal Williams (12/53/1), James Robinson (11/66/1), and Travis Etienne (4/47).
The Eagles can use up to four ball carriers, including Jalen Hurts, Kenneth Gainwell, and Boston Scott, but Sanders still gets to be the lead dog because of how well they create running lanes and run the ball so effectively and frequently. The Eagles’ estimated team total of 26.75 points is the fifth-highest of Week 3 and Philly is a 6.5-point favorite.
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