beyond overstatement. And, yet again, those currently suffering most acutely from the effects of a changing mexican by blood american by birth patriot by choice shirt climate are, in general, those contributing least to the process. It’s places like the Philippines, Bangladesh, and the Maldives, which emit tiny amounts of greenhouse gases per head of population compared to
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Not thinking it through at all, are you. Quickly running out also means quickly replacing and the last fossil fuels will become increasingly expensive and price themselves out of the market. Significant replacement would be needed within years to avoid that. The nucleus of proponents who embrace an idea are powerless without consensus from large numbers of people, so their ideas can only be realized by the alignment of large populations. If an idea isn’t based on a truism, or isn’t percieved as pure in a society; doesn’t conform in near equilibrium to the status quo belief system of a population, isn’t easily recognized as such to the lowest common denominator of intellect in a society, then other means are required to accrue power for an ideology to be mexican by blood american by birth patriot by choice shirt realized. Emotion. Propaganda, lies and collusion have been used throughout human history to secure power, it’s a requirement to sell dishonesty, to make it appear honest. Carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and cement production from to was about billion metric tonnes as carbon , with another GtC from deforestation and agriculture. Of this GtC, about GtC had accumulated in the atmosphere, GtC had been taken up in the oceans with slight consequent acidification, and GtC had accumulated in terrestrial ecosystems. Many Americans scientists and farmers are impressed. I have gone into yet more detail because Yiminy believes that the only way carbon can be managed is that the UN should do something it hasn’t managed to do thus far. Succeed in reducing emissions. Of course the other approach is to commercialize SMR. We love SMR. I don’t care whether Yiminy is impressed or not. His science and policy are both [email protected] RIE has gone into Don mode, or is it the same person? Inquiring minds want to know. It is an important point that the amount of warming, and that is the main concern of the UN, depends more on the emissions than on the sensitivity. That is the short version of what I said. Skeptics need to focus on the effects of warming itself if they don’t want to reduce emission growth rates or per capita emissions.
By mid century, there could be million or more environmental refugees whose homes are no longer habitable either because of rising sea level, gross flooding or persistent drought. I hope this history of manufacturing consensus gives rational people reason to pause before accepting arguments from consensus about climate change. Criticism would continue to be summarily dismissed as the politicisation of science by vested interests, while the panel’s powerful political supporters would ensure that its role as the scientific authority in the on-going climate treaty talks was never again seriously threatened. In , the IPCC was stuck between its science and its politics. The only way it could save itself from the real danger of political oblivion would be if its scientific diagnosis could shift in a positive direction and bring it into alignment with policy action. vulnerable groups to cope with the impacts of climate change. warned starkly that from , there were only eleven years left in which a programme to limit global warming to . might succeed. Tipping points are visible in the form of melting glaciers, shrinking ice packs, lethal and unpredictable flooding, droughts and forest fires, from California to Australia, Africa to the Amazon. ‘Our house is burning,’ was environmental activist Greta Thunberg’s message. has global credibility most of all because it has among its members scientists and scholars, not diplomats defending national interests. And its strength lies in being able to recommend strategies and investments that can be made by nations and companies individually without the need for an overarching bureaucracy that wastes valuable funds. This free-for-all approach to climate diplomacy in which all are expected to do their part and none escape scrutiny is an approach more likely to succeed than grand summits, even as it is amorphous and confusing. , after an exhaustive study, concluded in that “the balance of evidence suggests there is a discernible human influence on climate.” While not yet “beyond all reasonable doubt,” says Michael MacCracken, director of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the evidence “is becoming quite compelling.” The observed warming “is unlikely to be caused by natural variability,” says Thomas Karl of the U.S. published its last report, the summary alone ran to sixty pages. But the importance of the issue is almost
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