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seated in the Oval Office. was still giving the outcome as , give or take a couple of degrees. The explanation poodle poodlevengers marvel avengers dogs lover shirt seems to be that while the increasingly sophisticated computer models eliminated sources of uncertainty in their programs, they had to incorporate more uncertainty from the real world. This situation,

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Mark Serreze, director of the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center and an arctic ice expert, reported his shock at how the ice levels had “simply fallen off a cliff.” Along with others, he argued that if trends continued, all summer ice might disappear by , a full seventy years earlier than many of the models had predicted. also pointed to the American South and West as prime targets for increased heat and water stress. In , according to a NASA study, losses from a severe drought and heat wave that swept from Texas and Oklahoma eastward to the Carolinas caused some billion in damage and killed two hundred people, surpassing the losses of the San Francisco earthquake in , Hurricane Andrew in , and the Mississippi River floods in . report concludes that in order to limit warming to , CO equivalent emissions would need to be reduced by percent by and go to zero by . poodle poodlevengers marvel avengers dogs lover shirt labors to imply without too much impolitic specificity; the endnotes provide references to more explicit discussions of climate impacts. Dangerous levelseffects could be reached by the s s and catastrophic levelseffects by the s s, within the lives of many reading today. . Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. Global catastrophic risks than positive discount rate to determine the present-value cost of a future climate disaster. Acknowledgement I thank Megan Maloney for her helpful research. estimates that if present trends continue unchecked, carbon dioxide levels will reach ppm by higher than they have been for million years and average temperatures will jump another °F.

believes it is “likely” that average global temperatures will rise another . this century, bringing the total increase in temperatures to .°F. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Intervention Intuition moral Investment “Irrational Economist, The” conference Irrationality Jaffee, Dwight Johnson, Eric Johnson, Lyndon environmental issues and Johnson, Steven Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Judgment Just-in-time society Just, Richard Kahneman, Daniel Kasperson, Roger Keelin, Tom Keeney, Ralph Kennedy, John F. consulted twenty-three climate models and concluded that the widespread concern of climatologists about the Gulf Stream was misplaced. A Norwegian professor, Helge Drange, said, “The bottom line is that the atmosphere is warming up so much that a slowdown of the North Atlantic Current will never be able to cool Europe.” Or worry harder. A study of Greenland ice cores revealed that changes in the Gulf Stream appear to have triggered severe climate changes twelve thousand years ago that occurred not over decades but in one to three years. Also available along with numerous illustrations at . For a colorful presentation of the skeptic’s view on climate and all other environmental issues, see Lomborg, Environmentalist. has long predicted that tension over water will reach new heights during this century. report, a soft-spoken fifteen-year-old Swedish girl with Asperger’s syndrome named Greta Thunberg gave an electrifying speech at the annual United Nations climate talks in Poland that excoriated adult leaders for failing to act boldly to prevent climate catastrophe. warns that human-generated emissions are causing global temperatures to rise. An increase of degrees Celsius in the next hundred years, they say, would create devastating consequences for humanity. because he was its chairman. Pachauri coordinated a complex international network that involved the work of lead authors, scientific expert reviewers, and contributing authors, representing altogether countries along with the representatives of those governments, all of whom had to acquiesce at least to the overall summary. Response Strategies Working Group, the body responsible for planning a climate treaty, to hold one of its first sessions at the U.S. State Department. Bush had promised to combat the greenhouse effect with the White House effect. The self-proclaimed environmentalist would soon be

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